Monday, October 6, 2008

Merkel Goes it Alone?

The British media is reeling today from the surprise announcement from Angela Merkel yesterday that Germany would institute a full private bank savings guarantee, a decision which seemed to directly contradict what Merkel committed to on Saturday at the emergency summit in Paris. Though the leaders seemed to jointly criticize Ireland's decision last week to unilaterally guarantee all the money in its private banks without consulting the EU, Merkel has gone ahead and done exactly that for Germany the next day. It would now appear the question of whether there will be a cohesive EU-level response to the economic crisis is back on the table, and Saturday's meeting has been rendered irrelevent.

There is still great confusion over whether Merkel was just making a vague political commitment or an actual change i policy, but the news has thrown European governments for a loop. The fear in the UK is that if other EU countries are allowed to guarantee the full savings in private bank accounts (whereas the UK only guarantees 50,000 pounds - raised from 35,000 last week), it will mark an unfair competitive advantage for them and UK consumers will rush to move their money into foreign banks. Germany's decision has embolden other EU countries to do the same thing. Denmark shortly followed suit, and Greece has also stepped in to guarantee ts banks. Today Iceland is considering the same thing, and the Spanish government just announced that if there is no joint EU action, it will also act unilaterally to guarantee Spanish banks.

Given that Germany is Europe's largest economy, the decision by Merkel means that it is inevitable that all European countries will have to guarnatee the entire amount of its citizens' savings in private banks. Given that reality, many in the UK today were concluding that the only solution is a pan-European bailout fund. Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg told the Independent today that he supports a pan-European system of deposit guarantees. But how will British and German taxpayers feel about the idea of using their money to bail out Italian or Greek banks? They probably wouldn't be too enthused. But considering the fact that it is the Northern European banks that are collapsing at the moment, perhaps now is not the time for geographic snobbery.

Incidentally, there is increasing chatter that the current crisis could be exactly the bad medicine Europe needs to get its act together and put realy momentum behind the unification project, convincing EU citizens of the real, practical need for a stronger EU that can deal with such emergencies. In today's Brussels Blog, the Financial Times quotes one EU diplomat as saying today that the current emergency could have the same effect as the 1992 crisis in the European exchange mechanism has in, in the long run, consolidating support behind a single European currency. Similarly, the FT points out, it took the 9/11 terrorist attacks to prompt EU leaders into agreeing, at a summit just three months later, on the principle of a European arrest warrant.

The collapse of a big cross-border European financial institution could be just around the corner, and if this were to occur, no serious economist would be able to argue that rescuing the company is the responsibility of only the country in which that company happens to have its headquarters. But so far European national governments have been very resistant to the idea of creating a pan-European regulatory system.

European finance ministers are meeting tonight, and from the turmoil today it's clear that the market is hungry for some signal of a cohesive coordinated EU response. But with each country appearing to be unilaterally going forward and doing its own thing, it seems unlikely any such strong signal will emerge.
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Saturday, October 4, 2008

Verdict Is In: Europe will Respond Nationally

It looks like the question I posed in yesterday's post has been answered. In a press conference just now over at the Elysee Palace, the leaders of the European countries in the G8 laid out a very general plan for dealing with the crisis in Europe, after meeting all day to figure out what to do. And the verdict in, Europe will go forward with reforms on a national level, and there will be little in the way of a EU-wide policy. Sarkozy had reportedly been seeking an EU bailout fund similiar to the one just passed in the US, but apparently Angela Merkel was very opposed to any such plan. So European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso announced that the EU will temporarily relax its competition rules to allow individual countries to undetake sweeping changes such as Ireland's decision last week to guarantee deposits in Irish banks.

So in the end, it appears the leaders decided the EU was just not ready to deal with a crisis of this magnitude. They said that the response by individual EU nations would be "coordinated," but they were short on details of what that might mean. At the same time, they were very specific about what they will be calling for when they meet with the wider G8.
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Friday, October 3, 2008

Europe's Economic Solution: National or Federal?

As the US Congress debates today over the new version of the bailout bill, Europe is also scrambling to come up with solutions to the crisis which, although not of their making, has come to their shores. Despite overconfident assurances even recently that Europe would be immune to the American economic plague, it is clear now that the old world will be affected and there is consensus - unlike in the US - that drastic government action will be needed. But who should take the action? Right now the big debate raging is this: should there be a coordinated EU-level effort to deal with the crisis, or should each country deal with it in their own way tailored to their own situation?

It is not a simple question, and goes well beyond traditional euroskeptic/eurofederalist divisions. With the way the EU is currently set up (and while it still runs on the pre-Lisbon Treaty system), it would likely not be able to act quickly enough for any kind of big pan-European action like the US's bailout bill. But on the other hand, if each county just does it's own thing it could result in chaos and conflicting actions, particularly for the countries within the Eurozone that use the same curency and are regulated by the European Central Bank.

The pitfalls with the 'every man for yourself' plan were already seen earlier this week when Ireland went ahead unilaterally in implementing a savings guarantee program for its banks (similiar to the FDIC in the US) without notifying Brussels. The EU was not too pleased about that, but Irish politicians said that consulting Brussels would have taken too long and the government needed to act quickly. However right after they did it other European countries, most notably the UK, filed objections, saying it gave Irish banks an unfair advantage over other ones. Many Irish banks operate in the UK and it is thought consumers might rush to move their money into UK-based Irish banks because their savings guarantee is higher.

On the other hand, other European governments have banded together to take action.
Fortis received its bailout from a coalition of Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg, and France, Belgium and Luxembourg together bailed out Dexia. And there's been plenty of other activity, reflected in this chart from McLatchy-Tribune above.

The sense of urgency aroud this issue has grown incredibly strong as new data suggests that a recession could be near in Europe's major economies. French President Nicolas Sarkozyis holding a summit tomorrow here in Paris with the other European members of the Group of Eight (UK, Germany and Italy) to reach some consensus on the reforms that are needed. The idea is that they should present a united Europan front when they meet with the larger Group of Eight shortly. But some other EU countries are not too happy about being left out of this meeting, most notably Spain which now has a larger economy than Italy but is not in the G8.

Already the EU has laid out the regualtory changes it is going to make to improve supervision over European banks that operate internationally, but this won't do anything to bail out banks and other financial companies that may fail in the coming weeks. One of these future changes, for instance, will be a requirement that people who sell loan packages must hold at least 5 percent of the investment.

However this works out, one thing is clear. This is new territory for the EU. Of course, globally this situation is quite new and is on a scale that hasn't been seen since the 1930's. But in Europe in particular, there are new institutions and new relationships that haven't been tested like this before. Will the EU be able to deal with the crisis effectively? Or will the magnitude of the problem be too much for the fledgling international body to handle, and will the solutions have to fall primarily on the national governments?
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Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Europe Speculates on End of US Empire

Watching the live coverage of the US house floor Monday night in Paris was a truly surreal experience. On my cable system I get both French and British news station, and every station from both countries was carrying live minute-by-minute coverage of the vote on the bailout package, waiting in suspense and watching the vote tally. When the bill didn't pass, there was absolute panic over here. The news anchors were absolutely shocked, as were the commentators.

It really underlined how much the European economy still depends on the American economy. As Angela Merkel pointed out yesterday, this crisis is a problem created by the United States, and the United States is the only one who can solve it. So Europe is now in the position of having to sit back and wait for the United States to take some action as it reels from a painful crisis that is not of its own making. As the saying goes, when America sneezes, the world catches a cold. But what happens when America refuses to take any medicine?

After Monday's fiasco, there were plenty in Europe who were heralding it as the death knell of the American century. Tuesday's papers were filled with commentaries saying that the chaos and absurdity of the American political system today has permanently undermined the world's confidence in its lone superpower. Judging by the way the world was transfixed on Monday's vote, and by the degree to which the world economy has been affected by this US crisis (witness this week's bank nationalisations across Europe), it would be hard to argue that Monday marked the end of American world dominance, as some have argued. After all, those who were smugly saying over the weekend that European economies, thanks to tight government control, would not fall victim to this global virus created by the United States certainly had to eat their words on Monday when Fortis was nationalized by the Netherlands, Belgium and Luxembourg. Rather, Monday probably marks the begining of the end of the American empire, a point of no return. Obviously the end has been coming for some time, but Monday may have marked the point of certainty, the sign that officially confirmed to the world that the United States is in permanent and irreversible decline.

There was particular exasperation and shock in Europe over why the bill was defeated. It is acknowledged that nearly everyone in the House of Representatives wanted the bill to pass, but everyone wanted it to pass without they themselves voting for it. The Republicans, facing dim prospects in the upcoming election, were hoping that they could get the unpopular bill to pass without a majority of their party's vote, enabling them to blame the Democrats for its passage. In fact Monday morning, when everyone assumed the bill was going to pass, the GOP had already sent out a press release blaming Democrats for the bill's passage. But then the bill didn't pass. Democrats balked when they saw that the GOP wasn't going to hold up its end of the bargain. The world watched as the US Congress, which has become a largely ineffectual body whose members are forced to engage in nearly perpetual campaigning, stood completely paralyzed by the the system it has created for itself.

In a piece written for yesterday's Guardian, British author and academic John Gray wrote rather smugly that the crisis has proven the failure of American free-market capitalism under the Bretton Woods system. a conclusion echoed by French president Sarkozy in his speech early this week. "With the nationalisation of crucial parts of the financial system, the American free-market creed has self-destructed while countries that retained overall control of markets have been vindicated," he wrote. "In a change as far-reaching in its implications as the fall of the Soviet Union, an entire model of government and the economy has collapsed."

This analysis is a popular one at the moment in Europe. There have been plenty of historical comparisons made to the fall of other empires, most notably the British Empire, which fell apart when it became massively indebted after World War II and no longer had the cash to maintain itself or its power over the world. Power then went to the nation with cash: the United States. Power, it is now being speculated, will soon pass to the creditor nations such as China and possibly Russia. There seems to be little doubt that once the crisis is over, it will be China that will buy up the wreckage of the US financial system.
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Monday, September 29, 2008

Bank Bailouts Come to Europe

Though just recently the European Central Bank said smugly that Europe would never see the kind of bailouts currently going on in the US, as many as predicted it now seems clear Europe will not be immune from the crisis. Yesterday brought the news that Belgian-Dutch group Fortis is being nationalized by the Benelux nations and British mortgage lender Bradford & Bingley is being nationalized by the UK government.

Though the UK was the first country to see a big bank bailout with the nationalization of Northern Rock, since the US institutions such as Lehman Brothers and AIG started started dropping like flies, Europe's banks had held firm. But no longer. Fortis is the first major continal European bank to falter.

Now analysts are saying the next phase of bank bailouts are likely to be seen in Europe. Joseph Kraft, head of Japan capital markets at Dresdner Kleinwort, told Reuters today,"It's definitely moving towards Europe. It's the beginning of the end and a necessary step, so we should see more institutions nationalised, absorbed or going into default."

At the same time it appears the US congress has been able to work out a deal with which they can approve the $700 billion bailout plan for the struggling banks.
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Friday, September 26, 2008

Global Economic Crisis: France to the Rescue?

Over the past week I have been wondering if the current global economic meltdown, caused in part by the lack of US regulation over the financial services industry over the past decade, would have an impact on the way Europe's political winds are currently blowing. Judging from French president Nicolas Sarkozy's speech in Toulon yesterday, it would appear that for its part at least, the French right does not intend to scale back its ambitious plans for liberalizing reforms in France. But at the same time, Sarkozy intends to use the example of the crisis to sell to the Anglo-Saxon world a more Gallic system of economic regulation. The jist of his speech, it would seem, is that he wants to bring France's economy more toward liberalization and to bring the UK/North American economy more toward regulation, and perhaps the two can meet in the middle.

The past few years in Europe have seen a fundamental shift toward the right, as Europeans grow anxious about generous social welfare programs that now seem unable to sustain themselves over the long term. First, Angela Merkel's Christian Democrat party wrested power from the socialists in Germany through a coalition goverment. Then Nicolas Sarkozy handily beat the socialist candidate Segolene Royal in the French presidential election last year. Italy's brief period with a leftist prime minister came to an abrupt end earlier this year with the return of Silvio Berlusconi. And in the UK, Conservative leader David Cameron seems likely to lead the Tories to a victory over Labour whenever the next election is called. The only big outlyer is Spain, where socialist prime minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero ousted the conservative government a few years ago and is still standing strong.

Both Merkel and Sarkozy have made reforming the country's social models a priority - undertaking a liberalization program for the economy. Sarkozy's has been the most aggressive. So with the near collapse of the credit market in the US exposing flaws in the free-market capitalsm that has prevailed in the Anglo-Saxon world over the past decade, I've wondered whether the ascendancy of the European right might be finished.

But Sarkozy seems to be quickly repositioning himself in the face of the crisis. The man the French left has dubbed "Sarko l'Americain" lambasted the US-inspired lack of regulation in the last few years yesterday, saying that the extreem free-market deregulation undertaken by the Bush adminsitration, "was a folly whose price is being paid today."

In his speech yesterday he warned Europe that it cannot escape shock waves from the US financial crisis and that to protect its future, it must take the initiative in rewriting worldwide banking rules to end the "folly" of an under-regulated system he said is now "finished."He said that at the EU's next meeting he would, as the current holder of the European presidency, propose swift action for the EU to tighten controls over European banks. And he said that the world's major parties should gather at a special summit before the end of the year and develop an entire new monetary and financial framework to replace the U.S.-dominated Bretton Woods system set up in 1944.

So, I wouldn't count the European center-right out yet. After all, their opposition, European socialism, is largely adrift ideologically these days. If the European center-right can position itself as the political movement that can look out for Europe's interests during this crisis and strongarm the US into increasing regulation, it could end up even stronger from this crisis than it started. I have yet to see any reassuring plan of action from Europe's socialists.

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Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Guns in Finland

Yesterday's school shooting in Finland are interesting to look at from an American perspective, considering that the United States has an extensive recent history with school shootings and gun control is such a controversial issue in the US. Finland provides an interesting illustration, when compared to its European neighbors, of the possible links between the availability of guns and the frequency of gun crime.

In the US, gun control advocates often point to Europe as an example of an area where it is much harder to get a gun, and conversely there is much less gun crime. This is generally true, in the UK for instance even the police don't carry guns - and I saw first hand how rare and serious crimes involving guns are when I saw the police response to my getting mugged in January.

But there is one major exception to the restrive gun laws in Europe, and that is Finland. In Finland it is actually quite easy to get a gun, and owning one is very popular. There are 1.6 million firearms in private hands in Finland, and the minimum age for owning one is only 15. Only the US and Yemen have higher civilian gun ownership.

Now after yesterday's shooting, which closely followed another horrific school shooting in Finland in the past year, the country's prime minister has called for gun laws to be tightened. Matti Vanhanen said today that Finland should consider banning private handguns.

"In terms of handguns that can easily be carried about, we have to think about whether they should be available for private people," Vanhanen said. "In my opinion, they belong on shooting ranges."

Eleven students died in yesterday's shooting, and nine died in a similiar shooting in the town of Tuusula. Both of the gunmen had valid licenses for owning a gun, and both were young men who had posted videos on youtube with their weapons before the shooting. After last year's attack the Finnish government said it would consider changing the gun ownership laws, but no change was ever made.

School shootings haven't been very common in Europe, but they have occured. Outside of Finland there have been only two major ones. There was one in Scotland in 1996 that preceded the Columbine shootings, and another one in Germany in 2002. Though Finland has had several school shootings, gun crime in the country is relatively rare (although crime in general in Finland is rare). According to goverment figures, 14 percent of homicides in Finland involve a firearm.

Like the United States, Finland has a long and deep connection with hunting and personal gun ownership. But unlike the United States, there is no way of interpreting Finland's constitution as guaranteeing the right to gun ownership, and there is no powerful gun lobby. It could be that having these two shootings so close to one another could be the catalyst.
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Labour Standing By Their Man

As Gordon Brown flies across the Atlantic to the US this morning to discuss the economic crisis with other world leaders at the UN, it's safe to say he's had some recent experiences speaking to a panicked audience. In fact it's hard to say which group is more terrified at the moment; the world's leaders watching the US financial system teeter toward collapse, or the Labour party faithful watching their party blunder toward impending disaster.

Just yesterday Brown delivered a much-anticipated speech to the Labour Party Conference in Manchester, following months of party turmoil which have seen his approval ratings plummit. The party conferences in the UK are roughly the equivalent of the US party conventions, except that they happen every year at the same time regardless of whether an election is coming up or not.

His speech has been generally well-received by the British media, which has called it a "rallying" speech by a "New Brown" that was a "impassioned defense" of his precarious leadership. The speech also followed a clear effort to crack down on defectors within his cabinet - including the apparent submission of foreign secretary David Milliband, who was thought to be considering challenging Brown for the leadership, but earlier this week definitively shot down those rumours.

However, yesterday's good press for Brown may be overshadowed by the news today that Ruth Kelly, the Transport Secretary, is going to resign from Brown's government. This likely means that she couldn't give Brown the full confidence that he is now requiring from his cabinet. So Kelly has jumped from what she probably sees as a sinking ship. Who's next?

Current polling says Labour is destined for defeat at the next election, with Brown as much as 20 points behind the leader of the Conservative Party, David Cameron. However because the UK has a parliamentary system of government, Brown can call that election any time before June 2010.

So can the "new Brown" save Labour? Depends who you ask. Many in the British media seem to think that all the new Brown has to do to instill confidence in the British public is act vaguely like a human being.

Reuters wrote, "Today New Brown skipped on to the stage, cracked funny gags and had not one, but two kisses on the lips for his wife Sarah as the lengthy standing ovation reverberated around the hall."

I have to say from an American perspective it was amusing to see the British press describe the atmosphere at the conference as "a little bit Baptist church, a little bit Butlins — maybe even a little bit Blair." Were we watching the same conference? Here's a video of Brown's speech and the applause that greeted him - sustained certainly, but not the thundering rapture that some of the British press seems to be describing. Watch the beginning of the clip to see Ruth Kelly struggle to make a smile when she sees the camera's on her. She's probably thinking, 'get me the F out of here!'




Yet Brown's speech did seem to take advantage of the way the wind is blowing at the moment by emphasising traditional Labour values like social welfare and increased regulation. The main theme seemed to be that in these uncertain times, the British people need a leader - and a party - which will protect the most vulnerable people in society during this crisis. Though the British press is describing Brown's effort toward enthusiasm and humanity as being "Blairite," the content of the speech was anything but. Though Tony Blair invented "New Labour" at the same time that Bill Clinton was inventing the "New Democrats" in the US (both pulling their parties to the right in order to make them electable), Brown's speech seemed to be pulling Labour back toward the left. At a time like this, that probably makes perfect sense.

In Brown's words there was also a stern warning for those in the party who have the knives out for him. The markets and the population, he reminded them, would not react well if there was perceived instability in the UK government at this time. "The British people would not forgive us if at this time we looked inwards to the affairs of just our party when our duty is the interest of the whole country," he said to the crowd. For now, the stern warning seems to have worked. They may be nervous about Brown's leadership, but the Labour faithful seem to have concluded that the alternative turmoil could spell disaster not only for the party, but for the country as a whole. So, for now at least, they're sticking with their man.

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Friday, September 19, 2008

The Blame Game

As the global financial system falls apart around our ears, a few things have stuck out to me in the way that politicians in the US are reacting to the crisis. One has been the incredibly bizarre words coming out of John McCain's mouth in response to this disastrous week. Suddenly he's lambasting a "culture of unrestrained greed" on Wall Street and urging greater oversight. This is from a senator who has been one of the biggest champions of unbridled free-market capitalism throughout his decades in the senate. Has the world gone topsy-turvey? This may be what a paniced American population wants to hear right now, but it is clearly not the way John McCain truly views how the economy should be run.

I mean who would have thought they'd see the day that Hank Paulson, who is as aggressively free market as you can get, would be leading the kind of bailouts we're seeing today. He has to, the government doesn't have a choice in these circumstances. But it's truly bizarre to see John McCain blasting "unrestrained greed" on Wall Street as causing the current crisis when he and his party have led the charge to unrestrain that greed over the past ten years.

Beyond that, I think there is something culturally interesting about the language both candidates are using about the crisis, language which shows that no matter which candidate is elected in November, the US is unlikely to address the fundamental problem it faces any time soon.

Big Bad "Washington"

Both candidates are blaming the crisis on purely conceptual factors like "Wall Street Greed." It is symptomatic of the way the entire campaign has been phrased. The many problems America currently faces are the fault of "Washington," "terrorism," "lobbyists," "oil companies," you name it. In fact if you listen to American politicians, the one group that doesn't share any blame for the country's problems is the American people themselves.

But this argument is not only illogical, it's also unproductive. The dirtiest word during this election campaign has probably been "Washington." This is nothing new. Each election since Nixon has been presented to the American public in this way: Washington is broken and we need an 'outsider' or a 'maverick' to change it. It's how Reagan, Clinton and Bush were all elected. But this year the anti-Washington rhetoric seems to have hit new heights. And yet, what is Washington? Washington is a creation of the people, full of democratically elected politicians who the American public put there. Washington is, therefor, a reflection of the US population. So if there's something wrong with Washington, then there's something wrong with the US public.

The current economic troubles have been presented in the same way, as if it's all conceptual factors that are affecting the blameless American people. Nowhere was this more evident than when John McCain made the bonehead mistake of repeating his "the fundamentals of the economy are strong" line in Florida Monday morning on the day of the Lehman Brothers collapse. Rapidly going into damage control mode, he quickly shifted his wording later in the day to say that the 'fundamentals' he was referring to was the 'hard-working American worker.' Beyond being a laughable backtrack, it reflects the fundamental problem with the way American politicians are dealing with this cris. They're not being straight with the American people, because they won't tell them that it is the people who are to blame.

Debt Addiction

The American economy has been fundamentally operating on borrowed money for decades now. From the most microeconomic level (Americans now have a negative rate of average savings) to the most macroeconomic (the national debt is at a record high level), America is addicted to spending money it does not have to fund an opulant lifestyle. And it isn't just consumer debt like credit cards that has saddled the American people and the American economy. People took out mortgages that they couldn't possibly pay back, thereby spurring the mortgage crisis. People took out student loans that they knew they wouldn't be able to pay back for 30 years (I'm one of them). A combination of a lack of government oversight and assistance and Americans own culture of greed and vanity has pushed the country into a system where it lives far beyonds it means.

The average family debt in America is around $30,000, and that's not even including mortgages and student debt. The average college graduate from a private university leaves school with $60,000 in debt (Me? I had $120,000 in debt by the time I finished grad school). And how does Americans' -0.2 percent rate of savings compare our rapidly emerging superpower rival? In China, the average savings rate is 20 percent.

Jimmy Carter was the last president to touch this issue with a ten foot pole, in a speech he gave shortly before he lost the election to Ronald Reagan. The speech, widely called the "malaise" speech because it seemed defeatist, is widely credited with losing the reelection for Carter, who was defeated by Ronald Reagan who promised the American people "morning in America" with an endless luxurious lifestyle. Reagan then plunged the nation into an unprecedented level of peacetime national debt.

America has a problem. It is addicted to spending money, and resources, it does not have. The only solution to this problem is for Americans to stop spending what they don't have. But no politician is willing to say that. Instead, everyone in government is blaming the ethereal concepts of "Washington" and "Wall Street." And while much of this crisis can be blamed on the deregulation that a Republican congress has championed over the past 15 years (and that New Democrats rubber-stamped), most of it can be blamed on Americans' spend today, worry about it tomorrow lifestyle. The only real solution, for people, government and business, is to live within our means.

But per usual, when something goes wrong with the United States, it is never the fault of its citizenry. When a hijacking disaster came to its shores, it was blamed on the ethereal concept of "terrorism" rather than American foreign policy or the isolationism of its citizenry. When George W. Bush was elected - twice - it was somehow the fault of some larger "Washington" system rather than the fault of the voters themselves. And now, with the financial crisis, once again we see that Americans are refusing to look in the mirror and take responsibility for their own culture and their own lifestyle.

Self-Efacing Europe

I can tell you that this contrasts sharply with how Europeans view their own problems. When I speak with Europeans about the problems plaguing Europe, and the inability of the continent to address those problems, they throw their hands up in the air and give a morose explanation about how Europeans have petty rivalries and nationalism that make them unable to cooperate, or how they are are rendered complacent by their generous social welfare systems, or how the people of Europe lack any significant ambition or direction. They don't blame their concepts on etherial concepts, but rather themselves. They could never be as sucesful as America, so many of them say to me, because Europeans don't have the same drive for success.

In the end, I'd say Americans could do with a lot less self confidence and Europeans could do with a lot more. Americans inability to take personal responsibilty and tendency to blame vague concepts for their woes has gotten them into a quagmire in which they are unable to come up with real solutions to their problems. Europeans' lack of self confidence and their acceptance of a storyline that paints them as lazy and complacent makes it difficult to achieve any new success.

Maybe America has some extra swagger it could loan to Europe for awhile.
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Thursday, September 18, 2008

Getting Settled in Paris

I'm doing my freelance writing shift at a sidewalk cafe in St. Germain des Pres at the moment, a move necessitated by the internet being out at my apartment this morning. My French really isn't good enough to call the provider and find out what's going on, so I'm hoping the situation resolves itself on its own! But as long as I'm here, watching the pedestrians stroll along the cobblestoned Rue de Buci, I figured it would be a good time to write an entry about my first few weeks in Paris, and share some photos I've taken.

I've now been here about three weeks, and I'm slowly adjusting to the "work-at-home" lifestyle. I have a freelancing shift I do for a news web site in the morning, and then in the afternoons I have French class every day for four hours (2 hours of phoenetics, two hours of grammar). The schedule has kept me much busier than I thought I would be, as evidenced by my lack of blog posts recently. Obviously the events of this week in the world's financial markets have inspired some ideas, and there's an entry I want to write about the root cause of the crisis, but I just simply haven't had the time. Why aren't I writing it now? Well I'm at a cafe nursing my capuccino, and it seems more appropriate to write about life in Paris!

So far I've actually found everyone here to be really friendly and nice, which is completely different from my previous visits here when I was visiting. Perhaps it's because I'm speaking French with people, although for more complicated interactions that has been difficult. It really is just a shockingly beautiful city. I've been utilizing the city's 'velib' service, in which you can check out bikes from stations posted around the city and return them anywhere else. The first half hour is free, and it's just a euro for each half hour after that.

This past Sunday I rode my bike around the city a bit, first visiting the Palais Garnier, the grand opera house at the center of Paris. It was really stunniny, I'm hoping to see an opera there before I leave. Afterwards I rode the bike to La Defense, the business district outside the city that is similiar to London's Canary Wharf. The tendency in Europe over the past 30 years has been to impose height restrictions for buildings in the city centers and establish skyscraper zones in specific districts outside the city. It was interesting to be in La Defense on a weekend, as it was almost completely deserted and I was able to ride the bike all around the walkways, platforms and planks. It's much bigger than Canary Wharf, and some of the buildings are really quite interesting. I went behind L'Arc de La Defense, a huge arch-shaped building that mirrors L'Arc de Triomphe miles away. >That's where the construction for La Defense stops abruptly, because there's a massive (and chaotic) cemetary there. Bizarrely, there's this long wooden plank that extends out over the cemetary. it looks as if it should be over a beautiful waterfront, and I rode my bike down it assuming that at the end there would be a stairway to go down to the cemetary/construction zone. But there was nothing, just a big plankway overlooking graves and piles of asphalt. Perhaps they're planning to put something in this area later? Afterwards I rode my bike through the Bois de Bologna, a gigantic park on the outskirts of the city just outside the ring road. It was rather uninspiring, as my guidebook predicted. But apparently they're planning to give it a big revamp soon.

Class has been ok, but not ideal. To my dismay the other students turned out to be mostly American college kids, all either 19 or 20. There are some other "older students," but not many, and none of them are anywhere near my age. It would appear the students in the program are either 19 or 40, but nowhere in between! There's a significant contingent of Latin American college students as well, but the Americans make up the overwhelming (and loudest) majority. I don't have a problem with their being American per se, or the fact that they're young. But they're clearly in this course for a very different reason than us old folks. Theyre on their semester abroad, and the course is being paid for by mom and dad. For that reason most of them are not taking the classes very seriously, and seem to be more focused on where they're travelling to every weekend than with how their French is progressing. Don't get me wrong, I was one of them once too! I mean, my study abroad semester in Prague was academically challenging (it's known as the most academic of NYU's study abroad programs), but I definitly didn't take my Czech language course very seriously as a 21 year old spending a semester in Europe and jetting off on fabulous trips every weekend. But I'm not in that situation any more. It's very important for my career that I have a proficient level of French by the end of this course, and I resent it when the American college students speak in English during the class and don't do the homework, because it's wasting my time. Maybe I'm just becoming a cranky old man.

My verdict on the city so far is that it's beatiful, very fun, but I don't think I would live here long term. It may be large and cosmopolitan, but it just isn't an 'international' city on the model of London or New York. It actually feels quite provincial. Most everyone I meet here is French, and most of them have never lived outside the country. In fact, I've met two people who have never even left the country! I can't imagine meeting any such person in London. Paris is just very French, in a way that London is definitly not British! London may belong to the world, but Paris belongs to the French, and they make that very clear!

I have some friends from London scheduled to come visit over the next few weeks, so hopefully the Eurotunnel mess won't mess up their plans. Other than that I hope to take some weekend train trips over the next few weeks. I hope to visit Lille, Normandy and Brittany in particular.
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